The draw for the 2014 FIFA World Cup finals was held today in Bahia. The thirty-two qualifiers have been split into eight groups of four. Each team will play the other three teams in its group one time each for a total of three matches in the group stage. The top two finishers in each group advance to the knockout stages of Brasil 2014.
Italy were the European team drawn into Pot 2 and were then matched up with Uruguay from Pot X. The draw out of Pot 2 was jagged, with Chile being drawn first and getting shoved into Group B with Brasil preventing them from Group A. Next, Cameroon, the third team drawn from Pot 2, found themselves in Group A. Ecuador came next out of the magically bowl, but with Group C occupied by Colombia and Group D already having its second team in Italy, Ecuador bounced all the way to Group E. Whoever predicted the groups would be filled in the order D-B-A-E-C deserves a cookie at the very least. The rest of the draw provided less confusion but just as much drama.
Group A
Brasil
Croatia
Mexico
Cameroon
Brasil will be expected to ease into the knockout stages against three underperforming sides that all managed barely to squeak into the finals. Croatia will be without the suspended Mario Mandzukic in their opening match, but they were unlikely to grab points against Brasil in any case. Cameroon's own former players are not optimistic about their chances, as seen in this interview with former captain Patrick Mboma (http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/news/newsid=2225545/index.html). Can Mexico become the dominant side they were in 2011 and 2012 or will they remain the paper giants we saw in 2013? The crucial match will be between Croatia and Mexico, though Mexico will now be favored with Croatian captain Josip Simunic suspended for the entire tournament.
Group B
Spain
Netherlands
Chile
Australia
An Australia side that has been in turmoil since qualifying in June will be put out of their misery quickly in this section. Three teams from the top 10 in the ELO rankings are present in this group. Netherlands disappointed at their last major tournament, the UEFA Euro 2012, but they had an undeniable offense in qualifying for Brasil 2014. They flattened Hungary 8-1 in one match. Spain have lost only three competitive matches since the UEFA Euro 2008 finals. Chile were the second-best side in South American qualifying, and the standings would have reflected that had they just been able to avoid red cards in two matches against Colombia. If Chile behave themselves and finish matches with eleven players on the pitch, there is no reason that they should not expect to go far.
Group C
Colombia
Greece
Cote d'Ivoire
Japan
This group is so even that all four sides must be at once celebratory and wary. Cote d'Ivoire finally miss taking part in the Group of Death, and the golden generation will be looking to right the wrongs of major tournaments and opportunities passed with a berth in the knockout stages for the first time at a FIFA World Cup. Ultra defensive Greece, who unlike Cote d'Ivoire actually won their continental title in the past decade, are also looking for a first round of 16 berth in a third appearance at the finals. Japan are the class of Asia, but they looked outclassed at the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup. Colombia are glad to be placed in a group with teams of such pedigree as Colombia will be making their first appearance on the global stage since 1998. Colombia will be looking to wipe the disappointments of their quarterfinal exit to Peru at 2011 Copa America away. Freddy Guarin is suspended for Colombia's opener against Greece.
Group D
Uruguay
Costa Rica
Italy
England
Uruguay were perhaps the team least deserving of a seed based on the fact that two teams below them in the CONMEBOL standings were not seeded, yet here Uruguay find themselves amongst the seeds. Perhaps it is fitting that they were the team dealt the most difficult group of the opening round. Uruguay's 1-0 victory at Venezuela in June began the resurgence that saw them catapult back into playoff contention, and after thrashing Jordan on the road they are back at the site of their triumph at Brasil 1950. Italy tied Uruguay at the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup and qualified with games to spare, but sadly for the Azzurri, they failed to win either of their final two qualifiers, preventing them from obtaining a seed. Italy also managed only a draw against England when the teams met at the UEFA Euro 2012. Costa Rica are a team that deserve respect, a team which won all five home matches in the CONCACAF Fourth Round to finish second in that group. Note that the Ticos, the side most used to warm weather, will be playing all three of their group matches outside of the four southernmost (and coldest) cities. Note that the Ticos also earned a draw at Uruguay in qualifying for South Africa 2010 after losing the first leg of their playoff at home.
Group E
Switzerland
Ecuador
France
Honduras
How easily the world forgets that Switzerland are the only team to have defeated both Brasil and Spain in the past four years, otherwise known as the two top-ranked outfits in the ELO rankings. Ecuador have home continent advantage, but it is unknown whether the emotions that will swirl as they play to honor the late Cristian Benitez will boost or hinder their performance at Brasil 2014. France scraped by Ukraine in the UEFA Playoffs to get in, but this team is likely to be more united than the French side that fell to pieces in the dressing room at South Africa 2010. Honduras, playing in their third finals, will perhaps never see a clearer path to the knockout stages and will be relishing their chances to get through. Honduras and Ecuador will get a rematch of their ill-tempered 2-2 draw in a friendly last month that saw each side reduced to ten men.
Group F
Argentina
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Iran
Nigeria
Argentina, the power team in qualifying out of the power continent playing a tournament on the power continent, will be heavy favorites to get out of this group. Argentina just beat Bosnia in a friendly last month. Iran are a team that legitimately should not even be at Brasil 2014 given that but for egregious refereeing errors against Uzbekistan in 2012, Uzbekistan would have qualified in their place. However, as Uzbekistan, a much stronger and more entertaining side are undeservedly not going to Brasil, the least Iran can do to honor them is to play decent football. Bosnia are a joy to watch in attack, but they are unproven and appear much more susceptible to being dealt an early exit than they did early in 2013. Home losses to Slovakia in qualifying and to the United States of America in a friendly, plus their difficulty in scoring one goal against Lithuania to qualify on the final matchday may have shaken their confidence. They are the only side making a debut at a FIFA World Cup finals at Brasil 2014. Nigeria, the 2013 African Cup of Nations winners, played three matches at Brasil this past summer at the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup. With a healthy Emmanuel Emenike returning to guide them past Ethiopia in the final round of qualifying, the Super Eagles look poised to swoop into the knockout stages.
Group G
Germany
Portugal
Ghana
United States of America
The overblown Ghana-United States rivalry is back in full force. Nevermind that Ghana failed to score from open play in the group stage of South Africa 2010 or that Germany crushed them 4-0 in their third match. Somehow, Ghana actually created its first deserved goals of the tournament in their Round of 16 victory against the Yanks. This after defeating the United States in the group stage at Germany 2006. This after United States defeated Portugal at Korea/Japan 2002 in the group stage. This after Germany defeated United States in the quarterfinals of Korea/Japan 2002. This after Germany defeated Portugal for third place at Germany 2006 and in the group stage at the UEFA Euro 2012. To say these teams are familiar with one another would be rather truthful. Ghana finally have the Ayew brothers Jordan and Andre back in the fold, as well as Asamoah Gyan and Kevin-Prince Boateng, both of whom have returned from international retirement. The Yanks won the 2013 CONCACAF Gold Cup and finished first in qualifying. Portugal were miserable in qualifying, failing to beat Israel in two matches, but they found out that Cristiano Ronaldo has the capability of carrying them through two matches against Sweden. Can he do it for three matches at Brasil 2014? Germany, perhaps the best footballing country in the history of football with five FIFA World Cups to their name (three men's, two women's) always go deep in tournaments, and their current youth movement has advanced at a stellar rate. It is no coincidence that two teams from the German domestic Bundesliga advanced to the 2013 UEFA Champions League final.
Group H
Belgium
Algeria
Russia
South Korea
Belgium, making their first appearance at a major tournament since Korea/Japan 2002, will be absolutely delighted with their group stage draw. Les Diables Rouges are heavy favorites to advance out of this group because the outbreak of young Belgian talents in the past three years has astronomical. South Korea did not even celebrate their qualification as they lost their final qualifier at home to Iran and backed into the finals on goal differential against the aforementioned unlucky Uzbekistan side. Do not expect them to celebrate at Brasil either. Russia are the clear favorites to come out of the group alongside Belgium, having just pipped Portugal to win their qualifying group, but disturbing results like the loss away to Northern Ireland should prevent people from being overly confident in the Russian team. Algeria were fortunate to get through their equal in Burkina Faso on the most controversial of tiebreakers: the away-goals rule. For a team that sat back and played for a draw in their final group match of South Africa 2010 when a win was needed, it is tough to see enough ambition to push them into the knockout stages.
As always, I am contractually obliged to give ridiculously early predictions about who will advance. Let's go with Brasil and Mexico, Spain and Chile, Colombia and Cote d'Ivoire, Italy and Uruguay, Switzerland and Ecuador, Argentina and Nigeria, Germany and United States, and Belgium and Russia. Very astute observation: I did include all six CONMEBOL teams.
Group Analyses:
http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/final-draw/news/newsid=2240026/index.html?intcmp=newsreader_news_box_1
A: http://espnfc.com/news/story/_/id/1637698?cc=5901
B: http://espnfc.com/news/story/_/id/1640340?cc=5901
C: http://espnfc.com/news/story/_/id/1640367?cc=5901
D: http://espnfc.com/news/story/_/id/1640368?cc=5901
E: http://espnfc.com/news/story/_/id/1640369?cc=5901
F: http://espnfc.com/news/story/_/id/1640370?cc=5901
G: http://espnfc.com/news/story/_/id/1640371?cc=5901
H: http://espnfc.com/news/story/_/id/1640372?cc=5901
Showing posts with label Draws. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Draws. Show all posts
Friday, December 6, 2013
Tuesday, December 3, 2013
Official Brasil 2014 Draw Procedure
FIFA has announced the draw procedure for Friday's final draw. The teams will be split into four pots, but not all pots will be of equal size. Pot One contains the eight seeded teams, Pot Two contains the five CAF teams and the remaining two CONMEBOL teams, Pot Three contains the four CONCACAF and the four AFC teams, and Pot Four contains the remaining nine UEFA teams. In lieu of a special pot for the extra UEFA team, there will be a Pot X containing the four seeded CONMEBOL teams.
Before the rest of the draw occurs, one team from Pot Four will be drawn and then removed from Pot Four. This European team will then be drawn with a team from Pot X to determine with which South American seed it will be paired. Then, the draw begins in earnest.
Brasil will be assigned to position 1 in Group A. The other seven seeds will be drawn into position 1 in their groups. The European team chosen ahead of the draw will be placed in the group alongside their Pot X companion. Pot Two is then drawn with the teams placed into groups in alphabetical order (Group A, then Group B, C, et cetera) as drawn with the added caveat that Chile and Ecuador cannot end up in the same group as a Pot X seed. Pots Three and Four follow the same procedure as Pot Two except all eight groups will be available to all teams. Lastly, within each group the teams from Pots Two, Three, and Four will then go through another random draw to determine their positions within their respective groups in order to determine the order of the fixtures within each group.
Pot One
Belgium
Germany
Spain
Switzerland
Pot X Subgroup
Brasil
Argentina
Colombia
Uruguay
Pot Two
Algeria
Cameroon
Cote d'Ivoire
Ghana
Nigeria
Subgroup Protected from Pot X teams
Chile
Ecuador
Pot Three
Australia
Japan
Iran
South Korea
Costa Rica
Honduras
Mexico
United States of America
Pot Four
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Croatia
England
France
Greece
Italy
Netherlands
Portugal
Russia
Here were the results of my new sample draw following the confirmed draw procedure.
A1 Brasil B1 Switzerland C1 Spain D1 Argentina
The European team drawn from Pot Four before the draw was Bosnia. Bosnia drew Brasil out of Pot X, so I immediately threw Bosnia into Group A because Brasil were automatically placed in spot A1. Next, I drew the Pot One seeded teams in this order: Switzerland, Spain, Argentina, Colombia, Germany, and Uruguay. Pot Two came next. They were drawn in this order: Algeria, Ghana, Cote d'Ivoire, Cameroon (skipped over E to give Chile and Ecuador space), Nigeria (skipped over E and G to give Chile and Ecuador space), Ecuador, and Chile. Pot Three was drawn in this order: Iran, Mexico, United States, South Korea, Honduras, Japan, Australia, and Costa Rica. Pot Four fell out in this order: Portugal, England, Russia, Croatia, France, Greece, Italy, and Netherlands. Finally, positions 2, 3, and 4 in each group were drawn to give the diagram above.
Video of Announcement:
http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/final-draw/news/newsid=2238114/index.html?intcmp=newsreader_news_caption
News Reports:
http://www.mlssoccer.com/worldcup/2014/news/article/2013/12/03/world-cup-2014-tough-groups-await-brazil-after-united-states-concacaf-placed?utm_source=Facebook&utm_medium=referral&utm_content=News&utm_campaign=Unpaid
http://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/football/news/fifa-world-cup-2014-draw-2879583
Before the rest of the draw occurs, one team from Pot Four will be drawn and then removed from Pot Four. This European team will then be drawn with a team from Pot X to determine with which South American seed it will be paired. Then, the draw begins in earnest.
Brasil will be assigned to position 1 in Group A. The other seven seeds will be drawn into position 1 in their groups. The European team chosen ahead of the draw will be placed in the group alongside their Pot X companion. Pot Two is then drawn with the teams placed into groups in alphabetical order (Group A, then Group B, C, et cetera) as drawn with the added caveat that Chile and Ecuador cannot end up in the same group as a Pot X seed. Pots Three and Four follow the same procedure as Pot Two except all eight groups will be available to all teams. Lastly, within each group the teams from Pots Two, Three, and Four will then go through another random draw to determine their positions within their respective groups in order to determine the order of the fixtures within each group.
Pot One
Belgium
Germany
Spain
Switzerland
Pot X Subgroup
Brasil
Argentina
Colombia
Uruguay
Pot Two
Algeria
Cameroon
Cote d'Ivoire
Ghana
Nigeria
Subgroup Protected from Pot X teams
Chile
Ecuador
Pot Three
Australia
Japan
Iran
South Korea
Costa Rica
Honduras
Mexico
United States of America
Pot Four
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Croatia
England
France
Greece
Italy
Netherlands
Portugal
Russia
Here were the results of my new sample draw following the confirmed draw procedure.
A1 Brasil B1 Switzerland C1 Spain D1 Argentina
A2 Iran B2 Mexico C2
Ghana D2 South Korea
A3 Bosnia B3
Algeria C3 United
States D3 Cote d’Ivoire
A4 Portugal B4 England C4 Russia D4 Croatia
E1 Belgium F1 Colombia G1 Germany H1 Uruguay
E2 Ecuador F2 Japan G2 Italy H2 Netherlands
E3 Honduras F3 Greece G3 Australia H3 Nigeria
E4 France F4 Cameroon G4 Chile H4 Costa Rica
The European team drawn from Pot Four before the draw was Bosnia. Bosnia drew Brasil out of Pot X, so I immediately threw Bosnia into Group A because Brasil were automatically placed in spot A1. Next, I drew the Pot One seeded teams in this order: Switzerland, Spain, Argentina, Colombia, Germany, and Uruguay. Pot Two came next. They were drawn in this order: Algeria, Ghana, Cote d'Ivoire, Cameroon (skipped over E to give Chile and Ecuador space), Nigeria (skipped over E and G to give Chile and Ecuador space), Ecuador, and Chile. Pot Three was drawn in this order: Iran, Mexico, United States, South Korea, Honduras, Japan, Australia, and Costa Rica. Pot Four fell out in this order: Portugal, England, Russia, Croatia, France, Greece, Italy, and Netherlands. Finally, positions 2, 3, and 4 in each group were drawn to give the diagram above.
Video of Announcement:
http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/final-draw/news/newsid=2238114/index.html?intcmp=newsreader_news_caption
News Reports:
http://www.mlssoccer.com/worldcup/2014/news/article/2013/12/03/world-cup-2014-tough-groups-await-brazil-after-united-states-concacaf-placed?utm_source=Facebook&utm_medium=referral&utm_content=News&utm_campaign=Unpaid
http://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/football/news/fifa-world-cup-2014-draw-2879583
Tuesday, November 26, 2013
Brasil 2014 Draw Procedure (Anticipated)
Although FIFA will not officially release their draw procedure until 3 December, these are my impressions of how the draw will be performed based upon past FIFA World Cup finals draws.
Brasil 2014 will feature a group stage comprised of eight groups of four teams each. The thirty-two qualified teams will be split into four pots, each containing eight teams. FIFA has already announced that Pot 1 will be comprised of the eight seeded teams. Those teams include the host country Brasil plus the seven highest-ranked teams from the October 2013 FIFA rankings. This is a departure from the method employed at Germany 2006 where past performances in FIFA World Cup finals played a part in the equation along with current FIFA rankings.
Pot 1 (ELO rankings are in parenthesis)
1. Spain (2)
2. Germany (3)
3. Argentina (4)
4. Colombia (6)
5. Belgium (18)
6. Uruguay (9)
7. Switzerland (14)
11. Brasil (1)
The other twenty-four teams will be divided so as to create an even geographical distribution among the eight groups. There are nine unseeded European teams, two unseeded South American teams, five African teams, four North American teams, and four Asian teams. The eight highest-ranked European teams will be placed into a single pot with the final European team finding itself in a special lot like Serbia and Montenegro did in 2006. The team in the special pot will have to be drawn against one of the South American seeds so that no group ends up with three European teams. The four North American and Asian team will comprise another pot. Lastly, the five African teams will be paired with the remaining two South American teams in a seven-team pot with special rules in place to assure that no group ends up with two teams from South America.
European Pot
8. Netherlands (5)
9. Italy (11)
10. England (7)
14. Portugal (8)
15. Greece (17)
16. Bosnia and Herzegovina (24)
18. Croatia (23)
19. Russia (15)
Special Pot
21. France (12)
North American and Asian Pot
13. United States of America (13)
24. Mexico (22)
31. Costa Rica (31)
34. Honduras (44)
44. Japan (25)
49. Iran (29)
56. South Korea (42)
57. Australia (32)
African and South American Pot
12. Chile (10)
17. Cote d'Ivoire (21)
22. Ecuador (16)
23. Ghana (33)
32. Algeria (59)
33. Nigeria (30)
59. Cameroon (56)
I ran a sample draw to illustrate how the draw will proceed and how problems areas (the special pot and the two non-seeded South American teams) will be addressed. Brasil as the host country are automatically placed into position A1 in the draw. Then, the remaining seven teams from Pot 1 are drawn with each team placed in the next open group when drawn. The seeded teams automatically occupy position 1 in their groups. I drew Colombia (B1), Switzerland (C1), Belgium (D1), Spain (E1), Argentina (F1), Uruguay (G1), and finally Germany (H1).
Next up was the European pot. Teams would be placed into the next open group as drawn but also assigned a position of either 2, 3, or 4 within the group. I drew England (A4), Russia (B4), Bosnia (C3), Greece (D3), Croatia (E4), Italy (F4), Portugal (G3), and finally Netherlands (H4).
Next up was the North American and Asian pot. I drew Japan (A3), Honduras (B2), Australia (C4), Iran (D4), United States (E3), Costa Rica (F2), South Korea (G4), and finally Mexico (H2).
Now, the problem areas need to be addressed. France cannot be drawn into a group with a European seed, leaving Groups A, B, F, and G. Chile and Ecuador cannot be drawn into a group with a South American seed, leaving Groups C, D, E, and H.
In my draw, I drew the special pot next. France drew Group A and fell into position A2.
Lastly came the African and South American pot. Each team would be drawn and placed into the next open group, meaning that if Chile or Ecuador were drawn into a South American-led group, they would bounce into the next European-led group. If a South American team were to be one of the final three teams left to be drawn, it would immediately go into Group H as neither Group F or G would be available to it. I drew Cameroon (B3), Algeria (C2), Ecuador (D2), Nigeria (E2), Chile (bumped to H3), Ghana (F3), and finally Cote d'Ivoire (G2).
My sample draw appears below.
E1 Spain F1
Argentina G1 Uruguay H1 Germany
Brasil 2014 will feature a group stage comprised of eight groups of four teams each. The thirty-two qualified teams will be split into four pots, each containing eight teams. FIFA has already announced that Pot 1 will be comprised of the eight seeded teams. Those teams include the host country Brasil plus the seven highest-ranked teams from the October 2013 FIFA rankings. This is a departure from the method employed at Germany 2006 where past performances in FIFA World Cup finals played a part in the equation along with current FIFA rankings.
Pot 1 (ELO rankings are in parenthesis)
1. Spain (2)
2. Germany (3)
3. Argentina (4)
4. Colombia (6)
5. Belgium (18)
6. Uruguay (9)
7. Switzerland (14)
11. Brasil (1)
The other twenty-four teams will be divided so as to create an even geographical distribution among the eight groups. There are nine unseeded European teams, two unseeded South American teams, five African teams, four North American teams, and four Asian teams. The eight highest-ranked European teams will be placed into a single pot with the final European team finding itself in a special lot like Serbia and Montenegro did in 2006. The team in the special pot will have to be drawn against one of the South American seeds so that no group ends up with three European teams. The four North American and Asian team will comprise another pot. Lastly, the five African teams will be paired with the remaining two South American teams in a seven-team pot with special rules in place to assure that no group ends up with two teams from South America.
European Pot
8. Netherlands (5)
9. Italy (11)
10. England (7)
14. Portugal (8)
15. Greece (17)
16. Bosnia and Herzegovina (24)
18. Croatia (23)
19. Russia (15)
Special Pot
21. France (12)
North American and Asian Pot
13. United States of America (13)
24. Mexico (22)
31. Costa Rica (31)
34. Honduras (44)
44. Japan (25)
49. Iran (29)
56. South Korea (42)
57. Australia (32)
African and South American Pot
12. Chile (10)
17. Cote d'Ivoire (21)
22. Ecuador (16)
23. Ghana (33)
32. Algeria (59)
33. Nigeria (30)
59. Cameroon (56)
I ran a sample draw to illustrate how the draw will proceed and how problems areas (the special pot and the two non-seeded South American teams) will be addressed. Brasil as the host country are automatically placed into position A1 in the draw. Then, the remaining seven teams from Pot 1 are drawn with each team placed in the next open group when drawn. The seeded teams automatically occupy position 1 in their groups. I drew Colombia (B1), Switzerland (C1), Belgium (D1), Spain (E1), Argentina (F1), Uruguay (G1), and finally Germany (H1).
Next up was the European pot. Teams would be placed into the next open group as drawn but also assigned a position of either 2, 3, or 4 within the group. I drew England (A4), Russia (B4), Bosnia (C3), Greece (D3), Croatia (E4), Italy (F4), Portugal (G3), and finally Netherlands (H4).
Next up was the North American and Asian pot. I drew Japan (A3), Honduras (B2), Australia (C4), Iran (D4), United States (E3), Costa Rica (F2), South Korea (G4), and finally Mexico (H2).
Now, the problem areas need to be addressed. France cannot be drawn into a group with a European seed, leaving Groups A, B, F, and G. Chile and Ecuador cannot be drawn into a group with a South American seed, leaving Groups C, D, E, and H.
In my draw, I drew the special pot next. France drew Group A and fell into position A2.
Lastly came the African and South American pot. Each team would be drawn and placed into the next open group, meaning that if Chile or Ecuador were drawn into a South American-led group, they would bounce into the next European-led group. If a South American team were to be one of the final three teams left to be drawn, it would immediately go into Group H as neither Group F or G would be available to it. I drew Cameroon (B3), Algeria (C2), Ecuador (D2), Nigeria (E2), Chile (bumped to H3), Ghana (F3), and finally Cote d'Ivoire (G2).
My sample draw appears below.
A1 Brasil B1
Colombia C1
Switzerland D1 Belgium
A2 France B2
Honduras C2 Algeria D2 Ecuador
A3 Japan B3
Cameroon C3 Bosnia D3 Greece
A4 England B4
Russia C4
Australia D4 Iran
E2 Nigeria F2
Costa Rica G2 Cote d’Ivoire H2 Mexico
E3 United States F3
Ghana G3
Portugal H3 Chile
E4 Croatia F4
Italy G4
South Korea H4
Netherlands
Monday, October 21, 2013
European Playoffs Draw
The draw to determine the four European playoff matchups was held today in Zurich. With the two more traditional powers France and Sweden in the second pot, top seeds Portugal were hopeful that they would not be too severely punished for not winning their group. Hope did not salvage the Portuguese on this day as they drew Sweden right away. The matchup will surely focus on the attacking battle between Portugal's Cristiano Ronaldo against Sweden's Zlatan Ibrahimovic. Portugal will be more disappointed to have again fallen into the playoffs, but Portugal did win playoffs to qualify for South Africa 2010 and Euro 2012. Sweden finished third behind Portugal and Denmark in the quest for South Africa 2010. The teams played to two scoreless draws during that tournament.
France drew Ukraine out of the first pot, so Les Bleus are probably ecstatic given that they avoided the three more established teams. France will certainly be favored to move forward, but given the goalkeeping troubles they had against Belarus recently, Ukraine are certainly not going to feel that they are approaching an impossible task. Ukraine are unbeaten in their last seven qualifiers and only conceded four goals in ten matches to date. France did win 2-0 in Ukraine during Euro 2012. France won a playoff to get to South Africa 2010 whereas Ukraine lost in the playoff round in the same tournament.
Greece, the only team to have tied for first place in their group, now get to assert their defensive prowess against a Romania side that has suffered two multiple-goal shutout defeats in qualifying, including a 2-0 reverse at home against Turkey. In fact, after subtracting the two matches against Andorra, Romania had a negative goal differential over the other eight group matches. Greece have only surrendered four goals over ten matches, and they are the masters of the 1-0 victory. Greece qualified for South Africa 2010 via the playoffs.
Croatia were given surprise team Iceland, which actually suits both teams quite well. Croatia are on the slide recently and were the worst second-place side to advance to the playoffs. They have suffered two surprising losses to Scotland in qualifying this year, and coupled with a home loss to Belgium and a road draw with Serbia, they have failed to win any of their last four qualifying matches. Iceland, on the other hand, are a team on the rise, having gone undefeated in their last four qualifiers. Of course, Iceland did suffer three losses during the campaign and have never experienced the pressures that come with being so close to qualifying for a major tournament.
The four home-and-away aggregate-goals series are listed below with the home team for the first leg listed first. The first legs will be played on 15 November 2013 and the second legs will be played on 19 November 2013. The teams' current ELO ratings are listed. These ratings again reinforce the concerns about the FIFA rankings, which seeded Croatia and Ukraine rather than Sweden and France.
11 Portugal - 15 Sweden
21 Ukraine - 12 France
19 Greece - 34 Romania
79 Iceland - 22 Croatia
The four teams that I see advancing to Brasil 2014 are Sweden, France, Greece, and Iceland. For me, the hardest tie to pick is Iceland versus Croatia.
News Reports:
http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/preliminaries/news/newsid=2201671/index.html?intcmp=newsreader_news_box_1
Video of Draw:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9zxpXVw7fUM
France drew Ukraine out of the first pot, so Les Bleus are probably ecstatic given that they avoided the three more established teams. France will certainly be favored to move forward, but given the goalkeeping troubles they had against Belarus recently, Ukraine are certainly not going to feel that they are approaching an impossible task. Ukraine are unbeaten in their last seven qualifiers and only conceded four goals in ten matches to date. France did win 2-0 in Ukraine during Euro 2012. France won a playoff to get to South Africa 2010 whereas Ukraine lost in the playoff round in the same tournament.
Greece, the only team to have tied for first place in their group, now get to assert their defensive prowess against a Romania side that has suffered two multiple-goal shutout defeats in qualifying, including a 2-0 reverse at home against Turkey. In fact, after subtracting the two matches against Andorra, Romania had a negative goal differential over the other eight group matches. Greece have only surrendered four goals over ten matches, and they are the masters of the 1-0 victory. Greece qualified for South Africa 2010 via the playoffs.
Croatia were given surprise team Iceland, which actually suits both teams quite well. Croatia are on the slide recently and were the worst second-place side to advance to the playoffs. They have suffered two surprising losses to Scotland in qualifying this year, and coupled with a home loss to Belgium and a road draw with Serbia, they have failed to win any of their last four qualifying matches. Iceland, on the other hand, are a team on the rise, having gone undefeated in their last four qualifiers. Of course, Iceland did suffer three losses during the campaign and have never experienced the pressures that come with being so close to qualifying for a major tournament.
The four home-and-away aggregate-goals series are listed below with the home team for the first leg listed first. The first legs will be played on 15 November 2013 and the second legs will be played on 19 November 2013. The teams' current ELO ratings are listed. These ratings again reinforce the concerns about the FIFA rankings, which seeded Croatia and Ukraine rather than Sweden and France.
11 Portugal - 15 Sweden
21 Ukraine - 12 France
19 Greece - 34 Romania
79 Iceland - 22 Croatia
The four teams that I see advancing to Brasil 2014 are Sweden, France, Greece, and Iceland. For me, the hardest tie to pick is Iceland versus Croatia.
News Reports:
http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/preliminaries/news/newsid=2201671/index.html?intcmp=newsreader_news_box_1
Video of Draw:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9zxpXVw7fUM
Friday, October 18, 2013
UEFA Playoffs Pot Allocations
Europe has been awarded thirteen spots at the 2014 FIFA World Cup finals in Brasil. Nine spots have already been claimed. The final four spots are up for grabs in the UEFA Playoffs to take place in November 2013. Eight teams have advanced to the playoffs round, and they will learn their playoff fates this Monday, 21 October 2013, at the draw ceremony in Zurich.
Portugal, Croatia, and Greece have dropped into the playoffs despite being top seeds in their qualifying groups. France and Sweden are where they were expected to be as second seeds in their groups. Ukraine survived as a third seed, Romania join as a fourth seed, and Iceland are the miracle team, advancing this far as a sixth seed (the lowest seeding).
The four highest ranked teams by the FIFA rankings have been placed into Pot 1. The other four teams have been placed into Pot 2. One team from each pot will be drawn into each of four home-and-away aggregate-goals series. The pot allocations are shown below.
Pot 1
1. Portugal
2. Greece
3. Croatia
4. Ukraine
Pot 2
5. France
6. Sweden
7. Romania
8. Iceland
Portugal, Croatia, and Greece have dropped into the playoffs despite being top seeds in their qualifying groups. France and Sweden are where they were expected to be as second seeds in their groups. Ukraine survived as a third seed, Romania join as a fourth seed, and Iceland are the miracle team, advancing this far as a sixth seed (the lowest seeding).
The four highest ranked teams by the FIFA rankings have been placed into Pot 1. The other four teams have been placed into Pot 2. One team from each pot will be drawn into each of four home-and-away aggregate-goals series. The pot allocations are shown below.
Pot 1
1. Portugal
2. Greece
3. Croatia
4. Ukraine
Pot 2
5. France
6. Sweden
7. Romania
8. Iceland
Monday, September 16, 2013
Africa Round Three Draw
Luxor, Egypt, was the site for the draw for the CAF Third Round today. The biggest question was against which power team Egypt would be placed. Another burning question was which lower-ranked team would be granted the chance to play a Tunisia in shambles, having recently replaced their coach following what they thought was their elimination. Tunisia, of course, were revived by the disqualification of Cape Verde only two days after having seen their dreams crushed by a 2-0 loss at home to those same Blue Sharks.
The draw gods were out in full force today. Top seed Cote d'Ivoire were drawn against the very same Senegal team they eliminated in a two-legged playoff to reach the 2013 African Cup of Nations finals. On that occasion, the second leg in Dakar had to be stopped early due to riots from the Senegalese fans. Because of this, Senegal will not be able to play the second leg in Senegal and must find a neutral venue. Africa's two most populous countries Nigeria and Ethiopia face off over two legs. The resurgent Ethiopia, African champions as recently as 1962, look to undo their 2-0 loss in the 2013 African Cup of Nations to Nigeria, African champions as recently as 2013. Eternal powers Ghana and Egypt face off, with Ghana trying to make it three straight appearances at a FIFA World Cup finals and Egypt trying to get back for the first time since 1990. Algeria avoided a North African derby with Egypt, but they do run into the best incarnation of a national team that Burkina Faso have ever produced. Burkina Faso, finalists at the 2013 African Cup of Nations, try to deny Algeria a second straight finals appearance while looking for their first ever appearance. Lastly, Cameroon would have had a rematch of their shocking loss in a two-legged qualifying series for the 2013 African Cup of Nations to Cape Verde, but Tunisia have stepped into the shoes of the Blue Sharks, giving Cameroon the best possible draw for which they could have hoped.
The five home-and-away aggregate-goals series are listed below with the home team for the first leg listed first. The first legs will be played between 11 and 15 October 2013. The second legs will be played between 15 and 19 November 2013. The teams' current ELO ratings are listed.
21 Cote d'Ivoire - 63 Senegal
103 Ethiopia - 30 Nigeria
76 Tunisia - 62 Cameroon
38 Ghana - 34 Egypt
65 Burkina Faso - 59 Algeria
If I have to pick the five winners (and I do), I am going with Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Cameroon, Ghana, and Algeria, which would be the exact same five African teams that qualified for South Africa 2010.
News Reports:
http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/preliminaries/news/newsid=2174867/index.html?intcmp=newsreader_news_box_2
Video of Draw:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zDaW4ThB6_Y
The draw gods were out in full force today. Top seed Cote d'Ivoire were drawn against the very same Senegal team they eliminated in a two-legged playoff to reach the 2013 African Cup of Nations finals. On that occasion, the second leg in Dakar had to be stopped early due to riots from the Senegalese fans. Because of this, Senegal will not be able to play the second leg in Senegal and must find a neutral venue. Africa's two most populous countries Nigeria and Ethiopia face off over two legs. The resurgent Ethiopia, African champions as recently as 1962, look to undo their 2-0 loss in the 2013 African Cup of Nations to Nigeria, African champions as recently as 2013. Eternal powers Ghana and Egypt face off, with Ghana trying to make it three straight appearances at a FIFA World Cup finals and Egypt trying to get back for the first time since 1990. Algeria avoided a North African derby with Egypt, but they do run into the best incarnation of a national team that Burkina Faso have ever produced. Burkina Faso, finalists at the 2013 African Cup of Nations, try to deny Algeria a second straight finals appearance while looking for their first ever appearance. Lastly, Cameroon would have had a rematch of their shocking loss in a two-legged qualifying series for the 2013 African Cup of Nations to Cape Verde, but Tunisia have stepped into the shoes of the Blue Sharks, giving Cameroon the best possible draw for which they could have hoped.
The five home-and-away aggregate-goals series are listed below with the home team for the first leg listed first. The first legs will be played between 11 and 15 October 2013. The second legs will be played between 15 and 19 November 2013. The teams' current ELO ratings are listed.
21 Cote d'Ivoire - 63 Senegal
103 Ethiopia - 30 Nigeria
76 Tunisia - 62 Cameroon
38 Ghana - 34 Egypt
65 Burkina Faso - 59 Algeria
If I have to pick the five winners (and I do), I am going with Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Cameroon, Ghana, and Algeria, which would be the exact same five African teams that qualified for South Africa 2010.
News Reports:
http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/preliminaries/news/newsid=2174867/index.html?intcmp=newsreader_news_box_2
Video of Draw:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zDaW4ThB6_Y
Friday, September 13, 2013
CAF Third Round Pot Allocations
Africa has been awarded five spots at the 2014 FIFA World Cup finals in Brasil. The final ten African teams will learn their qualifying fates this Monday, 16 September 2013, at the draw ceremony in Cairo. Of the original top ten seeds from the preliminary draw, all but South Africa have advanced to the CAF Third Round draw. Ethiopia are the only team outside the top ten to have made it this far.
Teams ranked 1 to 5 have been placed in Pot 1. Teams ranked 6 to 10 have been placed in Pot 2. One team from each pot will be drawn into each of five home-and-away aggregate-goals series. Teams have been placed in pots 1 and 2 for the third-round draw as follows.
Pot 1
1. Cote d'Ivoire
2. Ghana
3. Algeria
4. Nigeria
4. Nigeria
5. Tunisia
Pot 2
6. Egypt
7. Burkina Faso
8. Cameroon
9. Senegal
10. Ethiopia
Pot 2
6. Egypt
7. Burkina Faso
8. Cameroon
9. Senegal
10. Ethiopia
Saturday, December 15, 2012
Wish List for 2013
With the final draw for Brasil 2014 less than a year away, now is a good time to ask politely for which teams I want to see at the final draw. Keep in mind that UEFA receives thirteen places, including four from intraconfederation playoffs, CAF receives five places, AFC receives four places, CONMEBOL receives four places, and CONCACAF receives three places. Add in Brasil as hosts plus the two intercontinental playoff winners (AFC-CONMEBOL, CONCACAF-OFC) and we have our final thirty-two contenders.
UEFA
Group A - Belgium
The young bucks striving for a shot at glory would be a fun team to watch. Christian Benteke, Romelu Lukaku, Kevin de Bruyne, Eden Hazard, Axel Witsel, Marouane Fellaini, and Vincent Kompany will all be aged 28 or less when Brasil 2014 comes around.
Group B - Italy
Would it be a FIFA World Cup without them?
Group C - Germany
See Italy.
Group D - Netherlands
They are aging, yes. They are in decline, yes, as evidenced by their flameout at Euro 2012. But they are clearly the class of their group, and after having lost three grand finals before, who would deny this generation of the Oranje one final shot at glory?
Group E - Switzerland
It's either them or Norway, folks. Let's see if Diego Benaglio can concede zero goals in the Swiss net like Pascal Zuberbuhler before him did at Germany 2006.
Group F - Russia
After their slipup in the playoffs against Slovenia in 2009 and their shock group stage elimination at the hands of Greece at Euro 2012, the Euro 2008 semifinalists who showed so much promise have yet to put it together on the biggest stage. With hosting privileges awaiting them in 2018, let's hope Russia can put together a run in 2014. Knocking Portugal five points off the pace in Group F was a good start.
Group G - Bosnia and Herzegovina
The strike force is world class, and a wish list is built around attacking football. Edin Dzeko, Vedad Ibisevic, Miralem Pjanic, and Zvjezdan Misimovic have combined for fourteen goals in four qualifiers so far. If they avoid the playoffs, they avoid bug-a-boo Portugal, thus qualifying for their maiden major international tournament.
Group H - Montenegro
The newest national team in UEFA has the inside track at making its first FIFA World Cup finals. Captain Mirko Vucinic would put a wonderful face on Balkan football at Brasil 2014, and young star Luka Dordevic could be a revelation. Center back Marko Basa, overlooked for Germany 2006 by Serbia and Montenegro, would make his first appearance at a FIFA World Cup finals.
Group I - Spain
Whether the two-time defending European champions and defending world champions get in via direct qualification or through the playoffs does not matter to me. It would be more interesting to watch the French media freak out during a playoff after the debacle at South Africa 2010 and the circumstances under which they defeated Ireland in the playoffs. Plus, I feel Spain are likely to snatch a victory in Saint-Denis when the two powers next meet in Group I play.
Playoff One - England
Perhaps going through the playoffs would unify a team that always seems to be disjointed in some fashion. Brasil 2014 would be better off with England around than at home with the talent they bring to the equation, and their high ranking would see them avoid being drawn with a France or Portugal in the playoffs, giving them a good chance to advance.
Playoff Two - France
They may not win their group, but the new crop of players is motivated to put South Africa 2010 behind them.
Playoff Three - Sweden
After the four-goal shows they put it to come back from 4-0 down in Germany for a tie in qualifying and to defeat England 4-2 in a home friendly, the world needs Zlatan Ibrahimovic in the showcase.
Playoff Four - Portugal
Why Portugal with the final spot? Perhaps I could have asked for Croatia or Greece, and indeed, Portugal have been a disappointment since making the semifinals of Euro 2012. Why, then, select Portugal? Simply put, Portugal have a better chance of going deep into any tournament than the other two teams do. Also, would you rather watch Mario Mandzukic, Georgios Samaras, or Cristiano Ronaldo? Exactly.
AFC
Group One - South Korea
See Italy, Germany.
Group One - Uzbekistan
What better way for the White Wolves to continue as the shining light in Central Asia than to be become the first Central Asian and third Soviet republic to make the FIFA World Cup finals (after Russia and Ukraine)? Midfielder Odil Ahmedov was the player of the year for his Russian club, Anzhi Makhachkala, over Yuri Zhirkov and even Samuel Eto'o, but the world has yet to recognize his existence.
Group Two - Japan
They have already wrapped up a spot barring forfeiture of their final three matches. The world needs to be ready for Shinji Okazaki, Shinji Kagawa, Yuto Nagatomo, and the rest of the 2011 AFC Asian Cup champions.
Group Two - Australia
The Socceroos are having all sorts of difficulties at the moment, but would we truly prefer to see Jordan, Oman, or Iraq in their place? And miss the rise of Matt McKay, Alex Brosque, and Robbie Kruse? And miss the last hurrah of Brett Emerton, Tim Cahill, Mark Schwarzer, and Lucas Neill?
Iran and Iraq were under consideration for spots in their respective groups. Honestly, though, who would not tune in to watch an Iran-Iraq fifth-place playoff series for the right to take on a South American opponent?
CAF
Spot One - Cote d'Ivoire
The golden generation needs to make it to the knockout stages of the FIFA World Cup to solidify its legacy. A kinder draw would be helpful, too. Also, winning the 2013 African Cup of Nations after finishing second in 2006 despite conceding no goals would earn them a trip to the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup to acclimate themselves to the stadia in Brasil. The world already loves the old guard (Didier Drogba, Yaya Toure, Kolo Toure, Emmanuel Eboue, Salomon Kalou, Boubacar Barry), and the world will fall for the new guard in time (Max Gredel, Gervinho).
Spot Two - Zambia
The 2012 African champions were one point away from qualifying from United States 1994 in spite of suffering a tremendous loss of life in a plane crash in 1993. They have placed the sad memory away for motivation and instead are living the dream, having taken their maiden continental title in the same country (Gabon) where that plane went down. The Chipolopolo have stockpiles of underappreciated talent with Rainford Kalaba, Chisamba Lungu, Emmanuel Mayuka, and Stoppila Sunzu all still early in their career arcs. Also, if Zambia qualify, that means Ghana are out, and quite frankly I am tired of watching the Black Stars' anemic offense magically reach the knockout stages of FIFA World Cups on the backs of penalty kicks resulting from handballs in the box by their opponents.
Spot Three - Nigeria
For all the disarray in which the Super Eagles have found themselves, they remain one of the premier teams in Africa. They even placed their women's side at Germany 2011. What fan base in Africa could be more passionate than that of the overly-demanding Nigerian fans?
Spot Four - Egypt
Oh, right, the Egyptian fans, the only group more passionate and desparate than the Nigerian fans. Egypt won four African Cup of Nations since 1998, including three consecutive cups between 2006 and 2010, yet they have not made it to a FIFA World Cup finals since Italy 1990. Much maligned American coach Bob Bradley has a chance to prove his doubters wrong and to bring joy to a country now struggling to reestablish its government and political stability.
Spot Five - Mali
Spot five contenders included Ethiopia, Senegal, and Tunisia. The allure of Tunisia would be the opportunity to see Youssef Msakni on the big stage for the first time. Senegal would bring the strike force of Demba Ba and Papiss Cisse to the table. Ethiopian qualification would shed light upon the Horn of Africa, a region often overlooked in the footballing world but now on the rise following Ethiopia's shock qualification for the 2013 African Cup of Nations. Also, it would be interesting to see if Saladin Said would be able to use the platform to facilitate a move abroad to a major club, the first for a habesha player in quite some time. However, the choice was Mali because Les Aigles have been so close to continental glory on so many occasions only to fall at the semifinal hurdle four times since 1994. Plus, who doesn't want to see Seydou Keita and Mahamadou Diarra make one appearance on the grandest of stages before exiting the international scene?
CONCACAF
Spot One - Mexico
Mexico believe they are in a golden generation, having won the 2007 and 2009 CONCACAF Gold Cups along with the 2012 Olympic gold medal. Will this finally be the tournament where they advance to a quarterfinal away from home soil? Five straight trips to the Round of Sixteen, four straight losses and a shootout exit in 1994. Their only win in the knockout stages was at home in 1986. Mexico's all-time record in the knockout stages is a depressing 1 win, 5 losses, 2 draws with 2 penalty shootout losses. If this team cannot make the breakthrough as a potential seed, can we say for certain that Mexico are jinxed?
Spot Two - United States of America
See Italy, Germany, South Korea.
Spot Three - Panama
This team is big and physical. Felipe Baloy in the back is a tank. Luis Tejada up top is a bulldozer, and his strike partner Blas Perez is a great finisher. La Marea Roja has been on the rise for the past eight years, and in fact made a quiet appearance in the 2005 CONCACAF Gold Cup final match, which they drew with the United States only to fall on penalties.
Playoff with OFC - Honduras
With regards to the playoff, I simply do not see this incarnation of New Zealand as being as bright as the 2010 version. This is why I wish for a fourth CONCACAF side to advance. Quite honestly, any of the remaining three teams would have much to offer, but Costa Rica and Jamaica simply do not speak to me the way Los Catrachos do. Oscar Boniek Garcia is a midfield maestro, and with forwards Mario Martinez and Jerry Bengston, center back Victor Bernardez, and midfielder Roger Espinoza in tow, no other country could better exemplify the strength of Major League Soccer. All I know for certain is that the CONCACAF Fourth Round will be spectacular.
CONMEBOL
Hosts - Brasil
See Italy, Germany, South Korea, United States of America.
Spot One - Argentina
Who would deny the world a chance to see Lionel Messi, Gonzalo Higuain, Sergio Aguero, and Angel di Maria up top in Brasil 2014? Also, see Italy, Germany, South Korea, United States of America, Brasil.
Spot Two - Colombia
Radamel Falcao, James Rodriguez, Guillermo Cuadrado, Freddy Guarin... Feel free to start drooling at any time.
Spot Three - Ecuador
Would it not be spectacular to see four former constituent countries of Gran Colombia at a FIFA World Cup finals together (Panama, Colombia, Ecuador, Venezuela)? Especially after none had qualified for the previous tournament?
Spot Four - Venezuela
One of the most underrated footballers of his generation would finally get his due on an international stage in what may well be his last attempt to qualify for the grandest of stages. Juan Arango, the left winger and undisputed greatest player in the history of La Vinotinto, is highly regarded by German fans since his stint in the Bundesliga began in 2009. With his exploits going unnoticed by the biggest clubs in the world, it is a fair question to ask if the reason he has not received a transfer to a big club is because of his nationality. If Venezuela make it to Brasil 2014, the stigma attached to their players should vanish and never again would a talent like Arango be overlooked.
Playoff with AFC - Uruguay
I was debating either Iran or Iraq for the final spot, but with the tournament finals being held on continental soil, the party would be better served with another South American side. Chile are in disarray in terms of discipline within their ranks, and though I would love to see Peru with Paolo Guerrero, Juan Vargas, Jefferson Farfan, and Claudio Pizarro in attack, their road form in qualifying will surely let them down. The choice is Uruguay, who are no strangers to the playoffs, having claimed CONMEBOL's playoff spot in the past three tournaments.
The picture for this article is a reflection of a draw I made based on the current ELO ratings and the thirty-two teams for which I have politely asked to be at Brasil 2014.
UEFA
Group A - Belgium
The young bucks striving for a shot at glory would be a fun team to watch. Christian Benteke, Romelu Lukaku, Kevin de Bruyne, Eden Hazard, Axel Witsel, Marouane Fellaini, and Vincent Kompany will all be aged 28 or less when Brasil 2014 comes around.
Group B - Italy
Would it be a FIFA World Cup without them?
Group C - Germany
See Italy.
Group D - Netherlands
They are aging, yes. They are in decline, yes, as evidenced by their flameout at Euro 2012. But they are clearly the class of their group, and after having lost three grand finals before, who would deny this generation of the Oranje one final shot at glory?
Group E - Switzerland
It's either them or Norway, folks. Let's see if Diego Benaglio can concede zero goals in the Swiss net like Pascal Zuberbuhler before him did at Germany 2006.
Group F - Russia
After their slipup in the playoffs against Slovenia in 2009 and their shock group stage elimination at the hands of Greece at Euro 2012, the Euro 2008 semifinalists who showed so much promise have yet to put it together on the biggest stage. With hosting privileges awaiting them in 2018, let's hope Russia can put together a run in 2014. Knocking Portugal five points off the pace in Group F was a good start.
Group G - Bosnia and Herzegovina
The strike force is world class, and a wish list is built around attacking football. Edin Dzeko, Vedad Ibisevic, Miralem Pjanic, and Zvjezdan Misimovic have combined for fourteen goals in four qualifiers so far. If they avoid the playoffs, they avoid bug-a-boo Portugal, thus qualifying for their maiden major international tournament.
Group H - Montenegro
The newest national team in UEFA has the inside track at making its first FIFA World Cup finals. Captain Mirko Vucinic would put a wonderful face on Balkan football at Brasil 2014, and young star Luka Dordevic could be a revelation. Center back Marko Basa, overlooked for Germany 2006 by Serbia and Montenegro, would make his first appearance at a FIFA World Cup finals.
Group I - Spain
Whether the two-time defending European champions and defending world champions get in via direct qualification or through the playoffs does not matter to me. It would be more interesting to watch the French media freak out during a playoff after the debacle at South Africa 2010 and the circumstances under which they defeated Ireland in the playoffs. Plus, I feel Spain are likely to snatch a victory in Saint-Denis when the two powers next meet in Group I play.
Playoff One - England
Perhaps going through the playoffs would unify a team that always seems to be disjointed in some fashion. Brasil 2014 would be better off with England around than at home with the talent they bring to the equation, and their high ranking would see them avoid being drawn with a France or Portugal in the playoffs, giving them a good chance to advance.
Playoff Two - France
They may not win their group, but the new crop of players is motivated to put South Africa 2010 behind them.
Playoff Three - Sweden
After the four-goal shows they put it to come back from 4-0 down in Germany for a tie in qualifying and to defeat England 4-2 in a home friendly, the world needs Zlatan Ibrahimovic in the showcase.
Playoff Four - Portugal
Why Portugal with the final spot? Perhaps I could have asked for Croatia or Greece, and indeed, Portugal have been a disappointment since making the semifinals of Euro 2012. Why, then, select Portugal? Simply put, Portugal have a better chance of going deep into any tournament than the other two teams do. Also, would you rather watch Mario Mandzukic, Georgios Samaras, or Cristiano Ronaldo? Exactly.
AFC
Group One - South Korea
See Italy, Germany.
Group One - Uzbekistan
What better way for the White Wolves to continue as the shining light in Central Asia than to be become the first Central Asian and third Soviet republic to make the FIFA World Cup finals (after Russia and Ukraine)? Midfielder Odil Ahmedov was the player of the year for his Russian club, Anzhi Makhachkala, over Yuri Zhirkov and even Samuel Eto'o, but the world has yet to recognize his existence.
Group Two - Japan
They have already wrapped up a spot barring forfeiture of their final three matches. The world needs to be ready for Shinji Okazaki, Shinji Kagawa, Yuto Nagatomo, and the rest of the 2011 AFC Asian Cup champions.
Group Two - Australia
The Socceroos are having all sorts of difficulties at the moment, but would we truly prefer to see Jordan, Oman, or Iraq in their place? And miss the rise of Matt McKay, Alex Brosque, and Robbie Kruse? And miss the last hurrah of Brett Emerton, Tim Cahill, Mark Schwarzer, and Lucas Neill?
Iran and Iraq were under consideration for spots in their respective groups. Honestly, though, who would not tune in to watch an Iran-Iraq fifth-place playoff series for the right to take on a South American opponent?
CAF
Spot One - Cote d'Ivoire
The golden generation needs to make it to the knockout stages of the FIFA World Cup to solidify its legacy. A kinder draw would be helpful, too. Also, winning the 2013 African Cup of Nations after finishing second in 2006 despite conceding no goals would earn them a trip to the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup to acclimate themselves to the stadia in Brasil. The world already loves the old guard (Didier Drogba, Yaya Toure, Kolo Toure, Emmanuel Eboue, Salomon Kalou, Boubacar Barry), and the world will fall for the new guard in time (Max Gredel, Gervinho).
Spot Two - Zambia
The 2012 African champions were one point away from qualifying from United States 1994 in spite of suffering a tremendous loss of life in a plane crash in 1993. They have placed the sad memory away for motivation and instead are living the dream, having taken their maiden continental title in the same country (Gabon) where that plane went down. The Chipolopolo have stockpiles of underappreciated talent with Rainford Kalaba, Chisamba Lungu, Emmanuel Mayuka, and Stoppila Sunzu all still early in their career arcs. Also, if Zambia qualify, that means Ghana are out, and quite frankly I am tired of watching the Black Stars' anemic offense magically reach the knockout stages of FIFA World Cups on the backs of penalty kicks resulting from handballs in the box by their opponents.
Spot Three - Nigeria
For all the disarray in which the Super Eagles have found themselves, they remain one of the premier teams in Africa. They even placed their women's side at Germany 2011. What fan base in Africa could be more passionate than that of the overly-demanding Nigerian fans?
Spot Four - Egypt
Oh, right, the Egyptian fans, the only group more passionate and desparate than the Nigerian fans. Egypt won four African Cup of Nations since 1998, including three consecutive cups between 2006 and 2010, yet they have not made it to a FIFA World Cup finals since Italy 1990. Much maligned American coach Bob Bradley has a chance to prove his doubters wrong and to bring joy to a country now struggling to reestablish its government and political stability.
Spot Five - Mali
Spot five contenders included Ethiopia, Senegal, and Tunisia. The allure of Tunisia would be the opportunity to see Youssef Msakni on the big stage for the first time. Senegal would bring the strike force of Demba Ba and Papiss Cisse to the table. Ethiopian qualification would shed light upon the Horn of Africa, a region often overlooked in the footballing world but now on the rise following Ethiopia's shock qualification for the 2013 African Cup of Nations. Also, it would be interesting to see if Saladin Said would be able to use the platform to facilitate a move abroad to a major club, the first for a habesha player in quite some time. However, the choice was Mali because Les Aigles have been so close to continental glory on so many occasions only to fall at the semifinal hurdle four times since 1994. Plus, who doesn't want to see Seydou Keita and Mahamadou Diarra make one appearance on the grandest of stages before exiting the international scene?
CONCACAF
Spot One - Mexico
Mexico believe they are in a golden generation, having won the 2007 and 2009 CONCACAF Gold Cups along with the 2012 Olympic gold medal. Will this finally be the tournament where they advance to a quarterfinal away from home soil? Five straight trips to the Round of Sixteen, four straight losses and a shootout exit in 1994. Their only win in the knockout stages was at home in 1986. Mexico's all-time record in the knockout stages is a depressing 1 win, 5 losses, 2 draws with 2 penalty shootout losses. If this team cannot make the breakthrough as a potential seed, can we say for certain that Mexico are jinxed?
Spot Two - United States of America
See Italy, Germany, South Korea.
Spot Three - Panama
This team is big and physical. Felipe Baloy in the back is a tank. Luis Tejada up top is a bulldozer, and his strike partner Blas Perez is a great finisher. La Marea Roja has been on the rise for the past eight years, and in fact made a quiet appearance in the 2005 CONCACAF Gold Cup final match, which they drew with the United States only to fall on penalties.
Playoff with OFC - Honduras
With regards to the playoff, I simply do not see this incarnation of New Zealand as being as bright as the 2010 version. This is why I wish for a fourth CONCACAF side to advance. Quite honestly, any of the remaining three teams would have much to offer, but Costa Rica and Jamaica simply do not speak to me the way Los Catrachos do. Oscar Boniek Garcia is a midfield maestro, and with forwards Mario Martinez and Jerry Bengston, center back Victor Bernardez, and midfielder Roger Espinoza in tow, no other country could better exemplify the strength of Major League Soccer. All I know for certain is that the CONCACAF Fourth Round will be spectacular.
CONMEBOL
Hosts - Brasil
See Italy, Germany, South Korea, United States of America.
Spot One - Argentina
Who would deny the world a chance to see Lionel Messi, Gonzalo Higuain, Sergio Aguero, and Angel di Maria up top in Brasil 2014? Also, see Italy, Germany, South Korea, United States of America, Brasil.
Spot Two - Colombia
Radamel Falcao, James Rodriguez, Guillermo Cuadrado, Freddy Guarin... Feel free to start drooling at any time.
Spot Three - Ecuador
Would it not be spectacular to see four former constituent countries of Gran Colombia at a FIFA World Cup finals together (Panama, Colombia, Ecuador, Venezuela)? Especially after none had qualified for the previous tournament?
Spot Four - Venezuela
One of the most underrated footballers of his generation would finally get his due on an international stage in what may well be his last attempt to qualify for the grandest of stages. Juan Arango, the left winger and undisputed greatest player in the history of La Vinotinto, is highly regarded by German fans since his stint in the Bundesliga began in 2009. With his exploits going unnoticed by the biggest clubs in the world, it is a fair question to ask if the reason he has not received a transfer to a big club is because of his nationality. If Venezuela make it to Brasil 2014, the stigma attached to their players should vanish and never again would a talent like Arango be overlooked.
Playoff with AFC - Uruguay
I was debating either Iran or Iraq for the final spot, but with the tournament finals being held on continental soil, the party would be better served with another South American side. Chile are in disarray in terms of discipline within their ranks, and though I would love to see Peru with Paolo Guerrero, Juan Vargas, Jefferson Farfan, and Claudio Pizarro in attack, their road form in qualifying will surely let them down. The choice is Uruguay, who are no strangers to the playoffs, having claimed CONMEBOL's playoff spot in the past three tournaments.
The picture for this article is a reflection of a draw I made based on the current ELO ratings and the thirty-two teams for which I have politely asked to be at Brasil 2014.
Friday, March 9, 2012
AFC Round Four Draw

The draw has brought Asia plenty of rematches from the AFC Third Round groups. From Group A and into Group Two come Iraq and Jordan, who split their two meetings in the previous phase. From Group B and into Group One come South Korea and Lebanon, who also split their two meetings. From Group D and into Group Two come Australia and Oman, who split their two meetings from round three as well. From Group E and into Group One come Iran and Qatar, who exchanged draws in the previous group stage. The only pair split apart was Group C's Japan and Uzbekistan, which may suit Japan just fine after Uzbekistan won the group with a win and a draw against the 2011 AFC Asian Cup winners.
The teams' current ELO ratings are listed.
21 South Korea
32 Iran
54 Uzbekistan
83 Qatar
129 Lebanon
Group Two
16 Australia
25 Japan
60 Iraq
73 Jordan
76 Oman
The AFC Fourth Round runs from 3 June 2012 to 18 June 2012. Each team will play eight matches, one at home and one away to each of the other four teams in their group. The group winners and runners-up will go to the 2014 FIFA World Cup finals in Brasil. The two third-place teams advance to the AFC Fifth Round in September 2013. The fourth-place and fifth-place finishers in each group will be eliminated from the 2014 FIFA World Cup.
Group Two appears to be the tougher of the two groups. The higher-ranked team out of every pot except Pot C (Uzbekistan) was drawn into this group. Group Two contains the two finalists from the 2011 AFC Asian Cup (Japan and Australia), whereas Group One contains the two losing semifinalists from that competition (South Korea and Uzbekistan). Both groups contain two losing quarterfinalists from the most recent AFC Asian Cup, with Iran and Qatar landing in Group One and Iraq and Jordan taking their place in Group Two.
After a quick scan of the draw, my predictions for the teams going to Brasil 2014 are South Korea and Uzbekistan from Group One and Australia and Japan from Group Two. The two teams predicted to advance to the AFC Fifth Round are Iran and Iraq.
Although Qatar may handle Iran decently well, I believe Iran's edge comes from their better ability to get results against group powers South Korea and Uzbekistan, especially with raucous crowds filing in the Azadi Stadium in Tehran. Lebanon managed to squeak out second place in the easiest of the Third Round groups (Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, and Lebanon were all the lowest seeds in their respective pots for the round three draw), but this step up in competition should prove too great. Iraq seems to have cracked the Jordan puzzle as of late, and an Oman team bereft of goalscoring (three scored in six games in the previous phase) will meet their match in this final group phase.
Group Previews:
Wednesday, March 7, 2012
AFC Fourth Round Pot Allocations
The final ten teams in Asia will begin the AFC Fourth Round in June 2012. The teams will be split into two groups of five teams. The top two teams in each of these groups will advance to the 2014 FIFA World Cup finals in Brasil. The two third-place teams will advance to a two-legged playoff for the right to take on the fifth-place team in CONMEBOL in a two-legged intercontinental playoff for a potential fifth Asian berth at Brasil 2014.The teams have been split into five pots based upon the March 2012 FIFA rankings. One team from each pot will be drawn in Group One, and one team from each pot will be drawn into Group Two.
Pot A
1. Australia
2. South Korea
Pot B
3. Japan
4. Iran
Pot C
5. Uzbekistan
6. Iraq
Pot D
7. Jordan
8. Qatar
Pot E
9. Oman
10. Lebanon
This final group phase will consist of ten matchdays. Each team will play eight matches and have two matchdays off. The final matchday conflicts with the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup in Brasil, so Japan will be assigned to the position in their group that guarantees that they will have the final matchday off. Japan will be at Brasil 2013 by virtue of their victory at the 2011 AFC Asian Cup.
Saturday, July 30, 2011
UEFA Qualifying Draw
The most anticipated part of the draw was the European portion. The most FIFA World Cup championships are held by European squads, who took the lead 10-9 over South America with Spain's victory at South Africa 2010. Before the draw, all the talk was of how the pots were playing out after the FIFA rankings were released on 27 July 2011. Big news included France slipping to Pot 2 and Wales slipping below the Faroe Islands into Pot 6.The fifty-three teams taking part in the draw were split into nine groups. The first eight groups had six teams and Group I had five teams. Each team will play every other team in their group home and away. The teams in the first eight groups will play a total of ten matches. The teams in Group I will play eight matches. The winner of each group will advance directly to the 2014 FIFA World Cup finals in Brasil. The eight best second-place teams will advance to the UEFA playoffs.
The top seed in each group is listed first, followed by the second seed, the third seed, the fourth seed, the fifth seed, and the sixth seed (except in Group I, who only have five teams. The easiest way to fix this imbalance would be for FIFA to admit Kosovo, but I am obviously not in charge here).
Group A
Croatia
Serbia
Belgium
Scotland
Macedonia
Wales
Group B
Italy
Denmark
Czech Republic
Bulgaria
Armenia
Malta
Group C
Germany
Sweden
Ireland
Austria
Faroe Islands
Kazakhstan
Group D
Netherlands
Turkey
Hungary
Romania
Estonia
Andorra
Group E
Norway
Slovenia
Switzerland
Albania
Cyprus
Iceland
Group F
Portugal
Russia
Israel
Northern Ireland
Azerbaijan
Luxembourg
Group G
Greece
Slovakia
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Lithuania
Latvia
Liechtenstein
Group H
England
Montenegro
Ukraine
Poland
Moldova
San Marino
Group I
Spain
France
Belarus
Georgia
Finland
Because UEFA qualifying does not begin until after Euro 2012, I will refrain from making an in-depth analysis until after that tournament takes place. However, I will list my early predictions.
First place:
Croatia, Italy, Germany, Netherlands, Switzerland, Portugal, Slovakia, England, Spain
Second place:
Belgium, Denmark, Sweden, Turkey, Slovenia, Russia, Greece, Montenegro, France
Links
Overview of draw:
Group A breakdown:
Group B breakdown:
Group C breakdown:
Group D breakdown:
Group E breakdown:
Group F breakdown:
Group G breakdown:
Ukraine's coach reacts to draw:
Group H breakdown:
Spain's coach reacts to draw:
Group I breakdown:
Oceania Round Two Draw
Oceania members finds themselves in an odd position. No draw was needed for their first round because the bottom four seeds (American Samoa, Cook Islands, Samoa, Tonga) are automatically playing in a four team group. Each of the teams participating in the first round group will play each of the other three teams in the group once at a central location. The winner of the group advances to the OFC Second Round.The OFC Second Round doubles as the group stage for the 2012 OFC Nations Cup in June 2012. The eight remaining teams were drawn into two groups of four teams. Each team will play each of the other three teams in their group once at a central location, in this case Fiji. The top two teams in each group will advance to the OFC Third Round, as well as to the semifinals of the 2012 OFC Nations Cup.
Group A
Vanuatu
New Caledonia
Round One Winner
Tahiti
Group B
Fiji
New Zealand
Solomon Islands
Papua New Guinea
I foresee Samoa winning the OFC First Round group.
My bold predictions for Oceania are that the following teams will advance to the OFC Third Round:
New Caledonia, Vanuatu, New Zealand, Fiji
The draw gods gave Oceania an imbalanced draw. Group A includes only one of the four powers of Oceania: New Caledonia. The other three (New Zealand, Fiji, and Solomon Islands) were all grouped together in Group B. Vanuatu were given a reprieve by this draw as they were in the 2007 South Pacific Games when in the third-place match they played a Solomon Islands team depleted by two red cards from their semifinal. Vanuatu then finished fourth place in the final round of 2010 FIFA World Cup qualifying. However, Tahiti will provide a challenge for Vanuatu's second place.
Group B involves heavy favorites New Zealand. The big matchup is between Fiji and Solomon Islands. Solomon Islands made it to the final playoff with Australia in the 2006 FIFA World Cup qualifiers and won its first round group over Vanuatu in the 2007 South Pacific Games, but they wound up missing the final round of 2010 qualifying. Fiji, however, boasts a finals appearance in those same South Pacific Games, and a victory over New Zealand in the final round of 2010 qualifying. Fiji has the home field advantage in the OFC Second Round, so they should sneak by the Solomon Islands and into second place in Group B. However, teams should be wary of wildcards Papua New Guinea. PNG's top club team Hekari United made it to the 2010 FIFA Club World Cup and featured PNG's star forward Kema Jack.
Links
OFC qualifying overview:
Group A breakdown:
Group B breakdown:
CONCACAF Round Three Draw
The six top seeds in CONCACAF join the party for round three, along with the six group winners from round two. The twelve teams were split into three groups of four teams each. Each team will play the other three teams in their group home and away for a total of six minutes. The top two teams in each group advance to the final round of CONCACAF qualifying, the glorious hexagonal.The top seed in each group is listed first, followed by the second seed, the third seed, and the fourth seed. These matches are scheduled to take place between June 2012 and October 2012.
Group 1
United States of America
Jamaica
Winner of Group E
Winner of Group F
Group 2
Mexico
Costa Rica
Winner of Group A
Winner of Group B
Group 3
Honduras
Cuba
Winner of Group D
Winner of Group C
My super early predictions for this round are that the following teams will advance to the glorious hexagonal:
United States, Jamaica, Mexico, Costa Rica, Honduras, Winner of Group C (Panama)
U.S. Perspective on draw results.
CONCACAF Round Two Draw
The five survivors from the first round of qualifying join nineteen other CONCACAF members in the first of three group stages in CONCACAF qualifying. These twenty-four teams were drawn into six groups of four teams. Each team will play the other three teams in their group home and away for a total of six matches. Only the winners of each group advance to the third round, where they will join the top six seeds.The top seed in each group is listed first, followed by the second seed, the third seed, and the fourth seed.
Group A
El Salvador
Suriname
Cayman Islands
Dominican Republic
Group B
Trinidad and Tobago
Guyana
Guyana
Barbados
Bermuda
Group C
Panama
Dominica
Nicaragua
Bahamas
Group D
Canada
St. Kitts and Nevis
Puerto Rico
St. Lucia
St. Lucia
Group E
Grenada
Guatemala
St. Vincent and Grenadines
Belize
Group F
Haiti
Antigua and Barbuda
Curacao
U.S. Virgin Islands
First, my thoughts on the draw. CONCACAF avoided disaster despite their horrible seeding procedure. Cuba should not have been exempted from this round in favor of Panama, but luckily Panama was drawn into a group where they will not be threatened. Grenada, a team that has no business being ranked ahead of Guatemala, was drawn against Guatemala and will now have to prove they were worthy of being the top seed.
El Salvador (Group A), Panama (Group C), Canada (Group D), and Haiti (Group F) are overwhelming favorites in their groups and will advance. Haiti, although not one of the power teams in CONCACAF, drew an incredibly favorable group to earn the mantle of overwhelming favorite. The true intrigue lies with Group B and E.
Group B pits top-seeded Trinidad and Tobago, a team that has been on a downslide since qualifying for the 2006 FIFA World Cup finals. Trinidad and Tobago almost got booted by Bermuda in the 2010 FIFA World Cup, and the two are matched up again here. Trinidad and Tobago has failed to qualify for the last two CONCACAF Gold Cups. However, this group is just simple enough for the Soca Warriors to advance as winners.
Group E pits Grenada against Guatemala. Guatemala delivered a 4-0 beating to Grenada in the 2011 CONCACAF Gold Cup group stage. Guatemala are infuriated by their poor FIFA ranking and will be looking to put on a show. Belize are an interesting team featuring strong athletes, and could finish in second place here, if not challenge Guatemala for supremacy.
Links
Here is an analysis of the entire CONCACAF Second Round (though the analysis of the makeup of Suriname's team is incorrect. Suriname consists predominantly of home-based players):
Group A breakdown:
Group B breakdown (mistakes Bahamas for Bermuda):
Group C breakdown:
Group D breakdown:
Group E breakdown:
Group F breakdown:
Asia Round Three Draw
Australia, Bahrain, Japan, North Korea, and South Korea join the fifteen survivors from the second round of Asian qualifying for the fight for Brasil 2014. These twenty teams will have to navigate two group stages to qualify for the finals, but only the draw for the third round was performed today. The twenty teams were split into five groups of four teams, with the top two teams in each group qualifying for the fourth round. Each team will play the other three teams in their group home and away for a total of six matches.The top seed in each group is listed first, followed by the second seed, the third seed, and the fourth seed.
Group A
China
Jordan
Iraq
Singapore
Group B
South Korea
Kuwait
United Arab Emirates
Lebanon
Group C
Japan
Uzbekistan
Syria
North Korea
Group D
Australia
Saudi Arabia
Oman
Thailand
Group E
Iran
Qatar
Bahrain
Indonesia
My picks for the ten teams advancing are:
Iraq, Jordan, South Korea, Kuwait, Japan, Uzbekistan, Australia, Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Qatar.
Group A pits China and Iraq against each other as in the first group stage of the 2010 FIFA World Cup. China is the weakest of the top seeds, and has not really put together any memorable results since qualifying for the 2002 FIFA World Cup. Jordan and Iraq both qualified for the quarterfinals of the 2011 AFC Asian Cup. Iraq for sure should advance out of this group, but the fight for second may come down to which of the three favorites can get a win in Singapore. Jordan is the upset pick over China.
Groups B and D should be straightforward for their respective top two seeds.
Group C is the Group of Death in the AFC Third Round. The champion and fourth-place side from the 2011 AFC Asian Cup join a 2010 FIFA World Cup participant and a strong West Asian side. North Korea is a world-class defensive side, but they will have difficulty finding goals, leading me to believe they will fall at this stage. North Korea present a stiffer challenge than Syria to Uzbekistan's bid for second, but North Korea are just as likely to lose at home to Syria as they are to win in Uzbekistan. Japan are the class of Asia and would steer safely through any Asian group. Uzbekistan should follow.
Group E is Iran's group to win. The real fun is the battle between Gulf rivals Bahrain and Qatar, two countries with under two million inhabitants who always punch above their weight in football and economic might. For me, this is the greatest tossup of the AFC Third Round, but Qatar are the pick due to the added resources they are sure to receive for their training and coaching from their government, who is keen on having a successful national side before Qatar host the 2022 FIFA World Cup finals.
Links
Group A breakdown:
Group B breakdown:
Group D breakdown:
Group E breakdown:
Africa Round Two Draw
The twelve winners from the first round join twenty-eight other hopefuls in the group phase of African qualifying for the 2014 FIFA World Cup. These forty teams were split into ten groups of four by the preliminary draw. Each team will play the other three teams in their group home and away for a total of six matches. Only the ten group winners survive to face the prospect of a third round of qualifying. For the other thirty teams, the dream ends here.The top seed in each group is listed first, followed by the second seed, the third seed, and the fourth seed.
Group A
South Africa
Botswana
Central African Republic
Winner of Series 7
Group B
Tunisia
Cape Verde
Sierra Leone
Winner of Series 6
Group C
Cote d'Ivoire
Morocco
Gambia
Winner of Series 12
Group D
Ghana
Zambia
Sudan
Winner of Series 8
Group E
Burkina Faso
Gabon
Niger
Winner of Series 11
Group F
Nigeria
Malawi
Winner of Series 1
Winner of Series 3
Group G
Egypt
Guinea
Zimbabwe
Winner of Series 5
Group H
Algeria
Mali
Benin
Winner of Series 9
Group I
Cameroon
Libya
Winner of Series 2
Winner of Series 10
Group J
Senegal
Uganda
Angola
Winner of Series 4
My early predictions for group winners:
Botswana, Tunisia, Cote d'Ivoire, Ghana, Burkina Faso, Nigeria, Egypt, Algeria, Cameroon, Uganda
Group J is the pick of the lot. Senegal have been overrated since their quarterfinal run at the 2002 FIFA World Cup. Star striker El Hadji Diouf was just suspended from Senegal's national team for five years, so he will be absent from this tournament. Angola were the weakest side at the 2006 FIFA World Cup finals. Both Angola and Senegal failed to advance to the final round of CAF qualifying in 2010. Uganda finished level on points with Angola in that tournament and would have qualified for the final round as one of the second-place teams, but Angola won a kooky tiebreaker and both sides were eliminated. Uganda and Angola are in the same group for 2012 Africa Cup of Nations qualifying with Uganda four points clear of Angola, having beaten Angola 3-0 already.
Group I is deceptively tough. Cameroon and Libya are in, but they are likely to be joined by Togo and DR Congo, a tough bunch indeed. However, none of these teams have the firepower to match Cameroon if Cameroon perform to their potential.
Group A is primed for an upset with neighbors South Africa and Botswana grouped together. South Africa has been on the upswing after their good performance as hosts of the 2010 FIFA World Cup finals, defeating France and tying Mexico. However, this was preceded by a failed attempt to make the final round of qualifying for the 2010 Africa Cup of Nations. South Africa could only manage one point from two games against Sierra Leone in that tournament. However, South Africa are currently winning a group with nemesis Sierra Leone and powerhouse Egypt in qualifying for 2012 Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. Why then would Botswana, who has never qualified for anything before, be the pick? Botswana is one of four teams to have already qualified for the 2012 Africa Cup of Nations, along with the two hosts and top seed Cote d'Ivoire. Botswana have safely navigated a group with Togo, Tunisia, and emerging presence Malawi to make its maiden appearance at the tournament finals, and have only lost once in the past two years (a friendly loss to Sweden).
Links
Here is a response to the whole African draw.CAF Second Round overview:
Here is an article on the rise of Botswana.
Group A breakdown:
Group B breakdown:
Group C breakdown:
Here is the response to the Group D pairings.Group D breakdown:
Group E breakdown:
Group F breakdown:
Group G breakdown:
Group H breakdown:
Group I breakdown:Group J breakdown:
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